Matt Murphy wrote:
>> I haven't looked at it personally, but its my understanding that the 
>> final exit poll results were reasonably consistent with the actual 
>> results. Which ironically is what they were designed to do rather than 
>> as some kind of real time forecasting tool :-)
> 
> 
>     Not really. Everything that I've seen suggests that the exit polls 
> were very accurate in most states, but biased consistently by 5-6% 
> towards kerry in states that have electronic voting. (That is bush got 
> more votes counted for him than the exit polls would suggest) If it was 
> truly a matter of exit poll innacurracy, the bias would be seen on both 
> sides.
> 
> Matt
> 
If you look at a nationwide county red/blue map, you'll see the rural
areas overwhelmingly voted for Bush.  Almost no organization does exit
polls on voting districts with small numbers of voters, and yet these
are precisely the districts that allowed Bush to win.  Systematic
procedural bias.




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